Monday, August 02, 2021

Still Growing

The number of covid cases continues to climb rapidly.

8/01/2021: 79,904 new cases / day -- Now (7-day average)
7/18/2021: 32,287 new cases / day -- 2 weeks ago
6/22/2021: 11,299 new cases / day -- Nadir
2/17/2021: 77,814 new cases / day -- Previous comparable rate

Deaths are up, but not nearly the 3x from nadir that cases made me fear.  Perhaps breakthrough cases, which rarely result in death, are diluting the death rate.  With about 1/2 of Americans vaccinated, the current death rate among the unvaccinated is about twice what it appears compared to, e.g., 1 year ago when 0% of Americans were vaccinated.

8/01/2021: 363 new deaths / day -- Now (7-day average)
7/18/2021: 266 new deaths / day -- 2 weeks ago
7/05/2021: 213 new deaths / day -- Nadir for deaths

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